I heard an analyst on Almayadeen TV yesterday say that first and foremost, the nuke deal is a victory for the Iranian “culture of good manners”. That it was specifically Rohani’s and Zarif’s exceptionally good manners that greased the deal forward from scratch.
The second victory for Iran is the overnight propulsion of Iran from “rogue” state in Western eyes, to peace-and-prosperity partner.
The third victory is that Iran has finally been recognized by the world as an important regional superpower, in close competition today with isreal and Saudi Arabia, therefore able to now legitimately exert geopolitical influence in the region.
Saudi Arabia’s frothing indignation at the “outsider” Iran aiding the economies and securities of Arab Syria, Lebanon, Iraq, and Yemen is now a moot intellectual and political argument. The Saudis can no longer claim that Iran’s influence on some Arab states is illegitimate and an act of foreign infiltration and hostility against the regional status quo, as Iran is now an essential part of the new status quo and has every right to exert its geopolitical soft and hard power in the region, to protect or advance its interests where and when it deems it necessary.
And in Tel Aviv, israel’s fiery threats to ‘go it alone’ against Iran have been reduced to innocuous pale ash overnight. They cannot now strike and devastate a country where the top 6 countries in the world hold trillions of dollars in investment as this would be considered economic warfare against the mega investor countries too.
What we are likely to see now, out in the open, is a solidifying alliance between israel and Saudi Arabia intent on turning the tables against Iran at any cost. But this collusion with israel will only weaken the House of Saud’s reputation and position as a brother and elder in the Arab world, threatening to significantly diminish its prestige in the wider islamic world too where israel is seen as a hostile and dangerous islamophobe.
But what’s really especially notable here with the success of the Iran deal is that American Empire has clearly pushed aside its old Saudi and israeli dictatorship bulldogs, signalling that its regional interests are no longer shared with them 100% and that from here on, Empire will work solely for its own sole interests.
And it looks like the future of Empire’s own interests do not lie obsessively in the Middle East.